Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
4 - 1
Fiorentina

Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Empoli	38	-20	41
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59

We said: Sampdoria 1-2 Fiorentina

Yet to draw a league game at home in 2022, Sampdoria would probably take a point if offered, given the quality of Monday's opposition. However, their relative lack of firepower could cost them, and Fiorentina are set for a rare away win - keeping them in the top-six mix for the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Fiorentina
33.84% ( -0.15)	25.02% ( -0.12)	41.14% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.82% (

0.5)

46.17% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

0.48)

68.47% (

-0.48)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

0.15)

26.31% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56% (

0.21)

61.44% (

-0.2)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.35)

22.38% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

0.52)

55.88% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 33.84%

Fiorentina 41.14%

Draw 25.01%

Sampdoria	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.84%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.14%