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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Fiorentina logo

Sampdoria
4 - 1
Fiorentina

Ferrari (16'), Quagliarella (30'), Thorsby (71'), Sabiri (84')
Vieira (18'), Trimboli (89')
Colley (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (89' pen.)
Torreira (14'), Gonzalez (15'), Maleh (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-2 Fiorentina

Yet to draw a league game at home in 2022, Sampdoria would probably take a point if offered, given the quality of Monday's opposition. However, their relative lack of firepower could cost them, and Fiorentina are set for a rare away win - keeping them in the top-six mix for the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
33.84% (-0.146 -0.15) 25.02% (-0.12 -0.12) 41.14% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.377 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (0.505 0.5)46.17% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (0.477 0.48)68.47% (-0.477 -0.48)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.154 0.15)26.31% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.20500000000001 0.21)61.44% (-0.205 -0.2)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.348 0.35)22.38% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.52 0.52)55.88% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 33.84%
    Fiorentina 41.14%
    Draw 25.01%
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.14%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Fiorentina

Sampdoria
15.8%
Draw
17.5%
Fiorentina
66.7%
120
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Oct 2, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
Vlahovic (72')
Quagliarella (42' pen.), Verre (83')
Thorsby (25'), Tonelli (70'), Ekdal (73')
Feb 16, 2020 2pm
Sampdoria
1-5
Fiorentina
Gabbiadini (90')
Murru (19'), Ramirez (22'), Colley (53'), Depaoli (86')
Murru (39')
Thorsby (8' og.), Vlahovic (18' pen., 57'), Chiesa (40' pen., 78')
Vlahovic (20'), Badelj (35'), Duncan (45')
Badelj (45')
Sep 25, 2019 8pm
Fiorentina
2-1
Sampdoria
Pezzella (31'), Chiesa (57')
Henrique (47'), Lirola (88'), Sottil (92'), Pulgar (95')
Bonazzoli (79')
Bereszynski (21'), Vieira (39'), Murillo (43'), Depaoli (76')
Murillo (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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