Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
51.11% | 24.05% | 24.84% |
Both teams to score 54.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% | 46.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.12% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.65% | 18.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.53% | 49.46% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% | 33.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% | 69.61% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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