Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 30, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 1
Sampdoria

Callejon (23'), Vlahovic (32'), Sottil (45')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Gabbiadini (15')
Gabbiadini (42'), Colley (74'), Ferrari (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Sampdoria

While Fiorentina's fluctuating form shows they tend to bounce back well from the setback of a defeat, they take on a Sampdoria side full of confidence on Tuesday. Vlahovic is bound to cause problems for the visitors, but we back I Blucerchiati to leave with a hard-fought point as their improvement continues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Sampdoria
51.11%	24.05%	24.84%

Both teams to score 54.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13%

46.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88%

69.12%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65%

18.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.53%

49.46%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97%

33.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38%

69.61%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 51.1%

Sampdoria 24.84%

Draw 24.04%

Fiorentina	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.1%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.84%