Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
66.8% | 19.8% | 13.4% |
Both teams to score 47.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% | 45.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.08% | 67.91% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.28% | 12.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.05% | 38.95% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.87% | 45.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.96% | 81.04% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 12.2% 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.99% Total : 66.78% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.57% 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |