Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
55.94% | 22.32% | 21.74% |
Both teams to score 56.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% | 42.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.06% | 64.94% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.94% | 15.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.43% | 43.57% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% | 33.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% | 70% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-1 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |