Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
32.64% | 26.79% | 40.57% |
Both teams to score 51.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% | 53.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.57% | 75.42% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% | 30.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% | 67.19% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% | 61.22% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.64% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |