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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Cagliari logo

Genoa
2 - 2
Cagliari

Frendrup (12'), Miretti (59')
Caricol (79'), Bani (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marin (8' pen.), Piccoli (88' pen.)
Marin (66'), Viola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Como
Thursday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-3 AC Milan
Saturday, November 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-1 Cagliari

It is unclear how Vieira's arrival at Genoa affects Sunday's outcome, especially given their winless home form. However, they should avoid losing to fellow strugglers Cagliari on the Frenchman's managerial bow in Italian football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawCagliari
39.07% (-0.497 -0.5) 27.63% (0.112 0.11) 33.29% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (-0.357 -0.36)57.1% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (-0.284 -0.28)77.98% (0.285 0.28)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.45299999999999 -0.45)28.45% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (-0.572 -0.57)64.21% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)32.05% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.088000000000001 0.09)68.52% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 39.07%
    Cagliari 33.29%
    Draw 27.63%
GenoaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.29%

How you voted: Genoa vs Cagliari

Genoa
Draw
Cagliari
Genoa
48.3%
Draw
40.4%
Cagliari
11.2%
89
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
3-0
Cagliari
Thorsby (17'), Frendrup (27'), Gudmundsson (63')

Shomurodov (58'), Augello (72')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Cagliari
2-1
Genoa
Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
1-0
Cagliari
Badelj (89')
Destro (49'), Sturaro (61'), Frendrup (84')

Pedro (41'), Grassi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan31208369303968
2Napoli31198448252365
3Atalanta BCAtalanta31177763303358
4Bologna311512451351657
5Juventus311414347291856
6Lazio31167852421055
7Roma31158846311553
8Fiorentina31157949321752
9AC Milan31139947371048
10Torino3191393636040
11Udinese31117133642-640
12Genoa31911112938-938
13Como3189143948-933
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3194183059-2931
15CagliariCagliari3179153144-1330
16Parma31512143751-1427
17Lecce3168172250-2826
18Empoli31412152447-2324
19VeneziaVenezia31312162444-2021
20Monza3129202555-3015


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