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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Cagliari logo

Udinese
2 - 0
Cagliari

Lucca (38'), Davis (78')
Lucca (64'), Toure (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Makoumbou (5'), Azzi (80')
Makoumbou (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Torino
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-0 Cagliari

Neither side are particularly prolific, so the game could be decided by a single goal - and Udinese are marginal favourites to score it. The hosts have made a fine start to their 2024-25 campaign, while Cagliari are often less effective when away from Sardinian soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawCagliari
46.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 28.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.24% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)20.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.08% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 46.39%
    Cagliari 28.6%
    Draw 25%
UdineseDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Udinese vs Cagliari

Udinese
73.1%
Draw
15.7%
Cagliari
11.1%
108
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Udinese
1-1
Cagliari
Zemura (14')
Lucca (20'), Gianetti (54'), Ferreira (77')
Gaetano (44')
Dossena (33'), Augello (38')
Nov 1, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Udinese
1-2
Cagliari
Guessand (63')
Guessand (79'), Quina (90+4'), Ferreira (108')
Viola (80'), Lapadula (120')
Pereiro (76'), Wieteska (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 4
Cagliari
0-0
Udinese
Wieteska (59')
Wieteska (90+5')
Thauvin (63')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Udinese
5-1
Cagliari
Becao (38'), Beto (45', 49', 73'), Molina (59')
Walace (42'), Pereyra (61')
Pedro (32')
Henrique (20'), Grassi (35'), Baselli (59')
Grassi (82')
Dec 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-4
Udinese

Marin (40'), Henrique (43'), Bellanova (71')
Marin (66')
Makengo (4'), Deulofeu (45', 69'), Molina (50')
Deulofeu (70'), Becao (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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