Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma3 - 0Udinese
We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese
Although time is not on his side, Ivan Juric is accustomed to making teams tougher to beat, so Roma could grind out an overdue first win of the season. Udinese's fine run must come to an end at some time, and the former table-toppers will be edged out in a close contest at the Olimpico. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Udinese |
51.71% ( 0.11) | 25.09% ( 0.03) | 23.19% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
