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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Udinese logo

Roma
3 - 0
Udinese

Dovbyk (19'), Dybala (49' pen.), Baldanzi (70')
Pisilli (31'), Cristante (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucca (3'), Kristensen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Roma
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Udinese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Udinese

 Although time is not on his side, Ivan Juric is accustomed to making teams tougher to beat, so Roma could grind out an overdue first win of the season. Udinese's fine run must come to an end at some time, and the former table-toppers will be edged out in a close contest at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawUdinese
51.71% (0.109 0.11) 25.09% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.19% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.229 -0.23)52.63% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (-0.197 -0.2)74.28% (0.197 0.2)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)20.35% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)52.75% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-0.257 -0.26)37.65% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (-0.25 -0.25)74.43% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Roma 51.71%
    Udinese 23.19%
    Draw 25.09%
RomaDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Roma vs Udinese

Roma
62.9%
Draw
16.4%
Udinese
20.7%
116
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 32
Udinese
1-2
Roma
Pereyra (23')
Kamara (31'), Bijol (58'), Payero (66')
Lukaku (64'), Cristante (90+5')
Baldanzi (69'), Karsdorp (90+3'), Karsdorp (90+14')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
3-1
Udinese
Mancini (20'), Dybala (81'), El Shaarawy (90')
Pellegrini (33')
Thauvin (57')
Ferreira (19'), Samardzic (26'), Success (27')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 29
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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