Roma

3 - 1

Udinese

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.