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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Lecce logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Lecce

Thauvin (49' pen.)
Kabasele (5'), Thauvin (77'), Ebosele (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Piccoli (83')
Ramadani (34'), Baschirotto (72'), Pongracic (72'), Dorgu (75'), Gendrey (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Udinese
Friday, October 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Lecce

Lecce took four points off Udinese last season despite finishing 10 points behind them in the final standings, and another draw between the sides here at the Dacia Arena looks likely. All five of Udinese's points so far have come via draws, and while arguably stronger on paper, lingering injuries mean the hosts are likely to stay near the bottom for the time being. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
UdineseDrawLecce
43.88% (-0.828 -0.83) 27.9% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 28.22% (0.8 0.8)
Both teams to score 45.92% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43% (0.252 0.25)59.57% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (0.19 0.19)79.91% (-0.187 -0.19)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)26.98% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (-0.411 -0.41)62.33% (0.416 0.42)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89% (0.794 0.79)37.11% (-0.789 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (0.778 0.78)73.9% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 43.88%
    Lecce 28.22%
    Draw 27.89%
UdineseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.11% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Udinese vs Lecce

Udinese
39.6%
Draw
28.1%
Lecce
32.3%
96
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Udinese
Espeto (62' pen.)
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Colombo (33')
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')
Jan 6, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
0-1
Udinese

Liverani (78'), Gabriel (89')
De Paul (88')
De Paul (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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