Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 0
Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Genoa
49.68% ( -0.04)	27.39% ( 0.01)	22.92% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 43.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02% (

-0)

60.98% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02% (

-0)

80.98% (

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24% (

-0.02)

24.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68% (

-0.03)

59.32% (

0.03)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.35% (

0.03)

42.65% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21% (

0.03)

79% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lecce 49.68%

Genoa 22.93%

Draw 27.38%

Lecce	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 14.74% 2-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 49.68%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.07% Total : 22.93%