Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce2 - 0Salernitana
We said: Lecce 2-2 Salernitana
As two likely contestants for mid-table safety meet, both can extend their unbeaten start to the season. Lecce and Salernitana have made some smart attacking acquisitions this summer, so a draw featuring goals at both ends could play out at Via del Mare. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
52.09% ( 1.06) | 25.77% ( -0.13) | 22.14% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
