Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Udinese |
31.55% ( -0.06) | 26.48% ( 0.12) | 41.96% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.95% ( -0.49) | 53.05% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% ( -0.42) | 74.64% ( 0.42) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( -0.29) | 31.17% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.34) | 67.51% ( 0.35) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0.24) | 24.99% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% ( -0.34) | 59.65% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |