We said: Udinese 2-0 Salernitana
Even in the spirit of the season, it is difficult to see Salernitana being gifted even a goal on Tuesday, let alone a point, as they slip further adrift of safety.
Udinese will regret the timing of the mid-season break given their recent improvement, but have time for one more home win, which they will seal due to their greater attacking confidence and the visitors' ongoing defensive woes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.