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Serie A
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Friuli
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 3
Spezia

Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

Last Six:
Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Spezia

Last Six:
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Udinese 2-1 Spezia

 Spezia's fight for survival may go down to the final 90 minutes of a testing campaign - depending on the results of their fellow strugglers - as they are likely to return from Friuli empty-handed, given an away record which features just four wins from 18 previous attempts. Also conceding at a rate of over two goals per game on the road, the Aquilotti are set to be denied even a precious point by their hosts, who have improved offensively of late and tend to make the most of home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
61.62% (0.089000000000006 0.09) 20.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.42% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.58% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)34.77% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)71.5% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 61.62%
    Spezia 18.07%
    Draw 20.3%
UdineseDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
78.7%
Draw
14.9%
Spezia
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Nikolaou (14'), Motta (40')
Samardzic (89')
Pussetto (13'), Arslan (14')
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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