Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 2, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 0
Venezia

Gyasi (90+3')
Maggiore (79'), Manaj (85'), Gyasi (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okereke (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Venezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Spezia have picked up 22 of their 29 league points against teams in the bottom half of the table, and that share (76%) represents the highest throughout Serie A this season. Also considering Venezia's travails in front of goal - they have not scored in over 200 minutes - the home side should be favoured to edge this one at the Picco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Spezia.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Venezia
46.05%	27.53%	26.42%

Both teams to score 45.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.82%

59.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39%

79.61%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3%

25.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39%

60.61%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.6%

38.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85%

75.15%

Score Analysis

Spezia 46.05%

Venezia 26.42%

Draw 27.52%

Spezia	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.05%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.42%