Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Spezia

Arnautovic (40', 84')
Binks (19')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Manaj (11')
Manaj (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

It may be a tense watch at Dall'Ara, but Bologna can grind out a narrow margin of victory against a Spezia side whose brief spell of superb form seems to be dissipating. The hosts score at a rate barely above a goal per game on home soil, but if they can keep a rare clean sheet, then the three points should be all theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Spezia
54.21%	23.4%	22.39%

Both teams to score 53.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.49%

46.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.21%

68.79%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77%

47.23%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65%

35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.26%

71.74%

Score Analysis

Bologna 54.2%

Spezia 22.39%

Draw 23.39%

Bologna	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.2%	1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.39%