Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
0 - 2
Napoli

Soumaoro (43'), Theate (57'), Binks (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lozano (20', 47')
Zielinski (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With neither team in particularly good form, we feel that anything could happen in this contest. Nevertheless, given their superior quality in the final third, Napoli could edge this game by the odd goal in three having had to withstand pressure from their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Napoli
23.5%	21.87%	54.63%

Both teams to score 60.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.62%

38.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.33%

60.67%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94%

14.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.35%

41.64%

Score Analysis

Bologna 23.5%

Napoli 54.63%

Draw 21.87%

Bologna	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 6.06% 1-0 @ 5.07% 2-0 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.15% Total : 23.5%	1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 6.37% 0-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.13% 0-4 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.63%