Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
1 - 1
Napoli

Chiesa (54')
Sandro (44'), Dybala (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mertens (23')
Demme (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two of the top three defensive sides in Serie A go head-to-head on Thursday, so even with a number of men missing at the back for both teams, there is likely to be little to choose between them. Home advantage bestows a psychological edge to Juve, as they routinely take points off Napoli at their headquarters, and the hosts' squad is more able to withstand the absences afflicting this fiercely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Napoli
43.58%	26.47%	29.95%

Both teams to score 50.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.42%

53.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91%

75.09%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.16%

58.84%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41%

32.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88%

69.12%

Score Analysis

Juventus 43.58%

Napoli 29.95%

Draw 26.46%

Juventus	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.58%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.95%