Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Petagna (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chabot (45+1'), Murru (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After a blistering start to the campaign, Napoli have tailed off in trademark fashion, with a title challenge slipping out of their grasp. If they wish to lift the Scudetto come the end of the season, it is victories against mid-table outfits like Sampdoria that they need to win, with Napoli likely to get the job done on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Sampdoria
68.18%	18.28%	13.53%

Both teams to score 53.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.68%

38.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.4%

60.6%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.73%

10.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.36%

33.64%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.68%

40.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06%

76.94%

Score Analysis

Napoli 68.17%

Sampdoria 13.53%

Draw 18.28%

Napoli	Draw	Sampdoria
2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 4.63% 4-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.36% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 4.63% Total : 68.17%	1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.43% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.28%	1-2 @ 3.89% 0-1 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.53%