Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 11, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fabian (35'), Osimhen (87')
Manolas (24'), Koulibaly (46'), Lozano (78')

Coverage of the Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Napoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Napoli
25.02%	23.01%	51.97%

Both teams to score 58.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92%

42.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51%

64.49%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69%

30.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51%

66.49%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74%

16.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.21%

45.78%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 25.02%

Napoli 51.97%

Draw 23%

Sampdoria	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.02%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.97%