Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 14, 2021 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
3 - 1
Sampdoria

Barrow (27'), Svanberg (41'), Soriano (70')
Palacio (32'), Skov Olsen (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Quagliarella (37')
Ferrari (56'), Ramirez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Sampdoria
41.37%	24.59%	34.04%

Both teams to score 58.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85%

44.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47%

66.53%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61%

54.38%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77%

25.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03%

59.96%

Score Analysis

Bologna 41.37%

Sampdoria 34.04%

Draw 24.59%

Bologna	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 8.84% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.37%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.04%