Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
24.78% | 22.44% | 52.78% |
Both teams to score 60.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3% | 39.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% | 62.06% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% | 29.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% | 65.17% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.88% | 15.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.31% | 43.7% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 6.32% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.78% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.93% Total : 52.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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