Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento
1 - 2
Napoli

Insigne (30')
Caprari (45+1'), Foulon (57'), Glik (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Insigne (60'), Petagna (67')
Politano (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Benevento and Napoli, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Benevento win it was 2-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Benevento	Draw	Napoli
22.73%	22.88%	54.39%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12%

43.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74%

66.26%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.77%

33.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16%

69.84%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95%

16.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.59%

45.41%

Score Analysis

Benevento 22.73%

Napoli 54.4%

Draw 22.88%

Benevento	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 5.92% 1-0 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.73%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.44% 2-3 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.4%