Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Napoli4 - 1Atalanta
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 39.78% | 23.7% | 36.52% |
| Both teams to score 62.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% | 39.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% | 61.79% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% | 20.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.61% | 52.39% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% | 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 39.78%
Atalanta BC 36.52%
Draw 23.69%
| Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.52% |
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
2-0
Napoli
Oct 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
Atalanta
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
