Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 4Atalanta
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 32.08% | 24.47% | 43.45% |
| Both teams to score 58.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% | 44.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% | 66.59% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.39% | 61.61% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% | 20.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.07% | 52.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 32.08%
Atalanta BC 43.45%
Draw 24.46%
| Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.45% |
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
Final
Atalanta
0-2
Lazio
