Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
0 - 2
Inter Milan

Djimsiti (25'), Toloi (44')

FT(HT: 0-2)

D'Ambrosio (1'), Young (20')
de Vrij (23'), Brozovic (56'), Handanovic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
43.27%	24.02%	32.71%

Both teams to score 60.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13%

41.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73%

64.27%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42%

19.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.5%

51.5%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08%

24.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45%

59.55%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 43.27%

Inter Milan 32.71%

Draw 24.01%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 7.68% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.71%