Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

Jul 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Napoli

D'Ambrosio (11'), Martinez (74')
Sanchez (22'), Brozovic (45+4'), Barella (55'), Biraghi (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lozano (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
42.25%	24.7%	33.05%

Both teams to score 58.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07%

44.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71%

67.29%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68%

21.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74%

54.26%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81%

26.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72%

61.28%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 42.25%

Napoli 33.05%

Draw 24.7%

Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.25%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.05%