Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

Jul 25, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 0
Sassuolo

Hysaj (8'), Allan (90+3')
Mertens (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berardi (40'), Duricic (68'), Santos (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A fixture between Napoli and Sassuolo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Sassuolo
54.77%	22.62%	22.61%

Both teams to score 56.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.18%

42.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.77%

65.23%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45%

15.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51%

44.49%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25%

32.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7%

69.3%

Score Analysis

Napoli 54.77%

Sassuolo 22.61%

Draw 22.61%

Napoli	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.77%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 5.91% 0-1 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.61%