Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
60.52% | 20.2% | 19.29% |
Both teams to score 60.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.91% | 36.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.8% | 58.2% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.4% | 11.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.4% | 36.6% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% | 32.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% | 68.49% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.62% 1-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.05% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-2 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.79% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.63% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.52% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 3.72% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 5.19% 0-1 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |