Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.