Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.