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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 22, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Via del Mare
Milan logo

Lecce
1 - 4
AC Milan

Mancosu (54' pen.)
Lucioni (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castillejo (26'), Bonaventura (55'), Rebic (57'), Leao (72')
Kjaer (45+3'), Gabbia (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAC Milan
25.68%22.49%51.82%
Both teams to score 60.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93%39.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61%61.39%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.88%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78%15.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13%43.87%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 25.68%
    AC Milan 51.82%
    Draw 22.49%
LecceDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.48%
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 25.68%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.82%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
2Fiorentina1274124101425
3Napoli118121881025
4Juventus126602171424
5Inter Milan1173125131224
6Lazio1171324141022
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081726-912
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza111551014-48
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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