Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
