Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Jul 4, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
0 - 3
AC Milan

Lukaku (78')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Calhanoglu (23'), Ibrahimovic (34' pen.), Rebic (59')
Paqueta (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
47.17%	25.1%	27.73%

Both teams to score 53.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84%

49.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77%

71.23%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.13%

20.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.43%

53.57%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61%

68.39%

Score Analysis

Lazio 47.16%

AC Milan 27.73%

Draw 25.1%

Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 47.16%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.73%