Euro 2024

European Championship | Round of 16

Jun 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Germany
vs.
Denmark

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Germany and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 last-16 clash with Denmark.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Germany
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany	3	6	7
2	Switzerland	3	2	5
3	Hungary	3	-3	3
4	Scotland	3	-5	1

Denmark

All competitions

European Championship

Last Game: Denmark 0-0 Serbia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

While Germany's display versus Switzerland in the final group game left a lot to be desired, Nagelsmann's men could be forgiven for easing off a tad with their last-16 place already sealed, and we ought to see a rejuvenated Mannschaft side at the Signal Iduna Park. Denmark have made a habit of keeping games close at Euro 2024, but even a rejigged German backline should not have much trouble repelling the Scandinavians' often futile attacks, and we can only envisage Nagelsmann's men marching onto the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Denmark has a probability of 33.87% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Denmark win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
Germany	Draw	Denmark
40.99%	25.14%	33.87%

Both teams to score 56.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3%

46.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04%

68.97%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32%

22.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67%

56.33%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46%

26.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25%

61.75%

Score Analysis

Germany 40.99%

Denmark 33.87%

Draw 25.13%

Germany	Draw	Denmark
1-0 @ 8.93% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.99%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.87%