We said: Denmark 2-1 Norway
Denmark have traditionally had Norway's number since the turn of the millennium, but as was the case against Sweden, their previous penchant for home clean sheets should count for little against their Haaland-inspired visitors.
It it difficult to envisage Solbakken's men penetrating the Danish brick wall more than once, though, so another narrow success should come the hosts' way in their final tune-up battle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Norway had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.