Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pafos FC win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Astana had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pafos FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pafos FC in this match.