Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stadion Vitosha
CSKA 1948 Sofia2 - 1Pafos
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Pafos FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Buducnost 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Thursday, August 1 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA 1948 Sofia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA 1948 Sofia would win this match.
Result | ||
CSKA 1948 Sofia | Draw | Pafos FC |
38.49% ( 0.04) | 26.59% ( 0.01) | 34.92% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.15% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% ( -0.06) | 52.75% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% ( -0.05) | 74.38% ( 0.05) |
CSKA 1948 Sofia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -0.01) | 26.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( -0.01) | 61.98% ( 0.01) |
Pafos FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( -0.06) | 28.82% ( 0.06) |