Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
San Marino1 - 2Denmark
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: N. Ireland 3-0 San Marino
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Kazakhstan
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-3 Denmark
Denmark could potentially secure a top-two finish in Group H, and with it their place at Euro 2024, so they should start strong in Serravalle before easing off once victory is assured. Once again, it will be a case of no goals and no points for plucky San Marino. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 95.48%. A draw had a probability of 3.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (15.52%) and 0-2 (13.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.9%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (0.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Denmark |
0.69% ( 0.08) | 3.83% ( 0.02) | 95.48% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 19.38% ( 2.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.64% ( 1.23) | 24.36% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.93% ( 1.61) | 44.07% ( -1.61) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 19.85% ( 2.31) | 80.15% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 2.11% ( 0.48) | 97.88% ( -0.48) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.63% ( 0.13) | 2.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 88.76% ( 0.47) | 11.24% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
San Marino 0.69%
Denmark 95.47%
Draw 3.83%
| San Marino | Draw | Denmark |
| Other @ 0.69% Total : 0.69% | 0-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.16) 1-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.36% Total : 3.83% | 0-3 @ 16.59% ( -0.65) 0-4 @ 15.52% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 13.3% ( -0.72)0-5 @ 11.61% ( -0.12)0-6 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.49)0-7 @ 3.87% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0.37)1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.24)1-5 @ 2.57% ( 0.31)0-8 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)1-6 @ 1.6% ( 0.21)Other @ 4.18% Total : 95.47% |
How you voted: San Marino vs Denmark
San Marino
11.9%Draw
7.1%Denmark
81.0%42
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
