San Marino invariably aim to avoid defeat instead of going all out to win, meaning that Fabrizio Costantini will likely set his team up for another damage-limitation job on Friday.
Given that San Marino have scored a solitary goal in their previous 11 outings, Kazakhstan look destined to claim a clean-sheet victory over the world's lowest-ranked national team.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.
0.12) 
-0.15) 
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