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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Kazakhstan
2 - 1
Belarus

Gabyshev (29'), Zainutdinov (79')
Zainutdinov (10'), Tagybergen (39'), Darabaev (49'), Astanov (90+2')
Tagybergen (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Savitskiy (45+3')
Pechenin (42'), Bakhar (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 13 at 3pm in Nations League

Belarus

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-0 Belarus
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Kazakhstan 2-0 Belarus

 Despite having dominated League C Group 3, Azerbaijan are yet to score more than twice in a single fixture. That is a statistic which will only encourage their opponents, but we still expect the home side to make relatively light work of Belarus on Thursday, securing promotion in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.79%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.

Result
KazakhstanDrawBelarus
51.9% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04) 21.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.46% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.8% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)13.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.038000000000011 0.04)25.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.051000000000002 0.05)59.77% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 51.9%
    Belarus 26.46%
    Draw 21.64%
KazakhstanDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17%
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.9%
1-1 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.46%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Belarus

Kazakhstan
76.9%
Draw
15.0%
Belarus
8.1%
160
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 7.45pm
League C3
Belarus
1-1
Kazakhstan
Malkevich (84')
Yudenkov (42')
Aymbetov (13')
Kuat (88')
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
League C4
Belarus
2-0
Kazakhstan
Yablonski (36'), Yuzepchukh (90+3')

Maliy (16')
Sep 7, 2020 3pm
League C4
Kazakhstan
1-2
Belarus
Aymbetov (62')
Beysebekov (15'), Suyumbayev (40'), Maliy (88')
Bordachev (53'), Lisakovich (86')
Ebong (73')
rhs 2.0
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