Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
Slovenia2 - 0San Marino
Form, Standings, Stats
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Slovenia 5-0 San Marino
Slovenia have won every one of their previous meetings with San Marino, and there is seemingly no real chance of that run coming to an end on Sunday, particularly given how well they played in the second half against Kazakhstan. Kekci have always won by at least a four-goal margin when they have faced La Serenissima at home in the past, and so we expect them to win by a similar scoreline this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 4-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | San Marino |
87.83% ( -0.05) | 9.04% ( -0.07) | 3.14% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 34.2% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.11% ( 1.26) | 32.89% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.41% ( 1.44) | 54.59% ( -1.43) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.08% ( 0.21) | 4.92% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.25% ( 0.63) | 19.75% ( -0.63) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.97% ( 1.57) | 64.03% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 7.42% ( 0.68) | 92.57% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
Slovenia 87.81%
San Marino 3.14%
Draw 9.04%
| Slovenia | Draw | San Marino |
| 3-0 @ 14.34% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.55)4-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.5)5-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.22)6-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.17)6-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)7-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.29% Total : 87.81% | 1-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.23% Total : 9.04% | 0-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 3.14% |
How you voted: Slovenia vs San Marino
Slovenia
83.6%Draw
6.0%San Marino
10.4%67
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
