MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:38:19| >> :120:70731:70731:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Slovenia national football team

Sweden
1 - 1
Slovenia

Forsberg (42')
Kulusevski (13'), Olsson (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sesko (28')
Bijol (15'), Stojanovic (54'), Gnezda Cerin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Sweden
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Norway
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Sweden 2-1 Slovenia

 Though they may struggle to keep a clean sheet, having conceded at a rate of two goals per game in their last five matches, Sweden can snatch League B survival on the final day. If some talented forwards can click, then the hosts will edge out a Slovenia side lacking two top players through suspension. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawSlovenia
46.16% (0.20399999999999 0.2) 23.95% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 29.89% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 59.21% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-0.314 -0.31)42.8% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-0.313 -0.31)65.2% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.26% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)18.74% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)50.12% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)27.14% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)62.54% (0.419 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 46.16%
    Slovenia 29.89%
    Draw 23.94%
SwedenDrawSlovenia
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Sweden vs Slovenia

Sweden
73.9%
Draw
14.1%
Slovenia
12.0%
142
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 7.45pm
League B4
Slovenia
0-2
Sweden

Stojanovic (37'), Zajc (41')
Forsberg (39' pen.), Kulusevski (88')
Olsson (43'), Krafth (83'), Kulusevski (85')
May 30, 2016 6.30pm
Sweden
0-0
Slovenia

Jokic (64'), Kurtic (75'), Krajnc (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!