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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovenia national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Petrol
Sweden national football team

Slovenia
0 - 2
Sweden


Stojanovic (37'), Zajc (41')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forsberg (39' pen.), Kulusevski (88')
Olsson (43'), Krafth (83'), Kulusevski (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

Last Six:
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Slovenia vs. Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Sweden

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Slovenia 1-2 Sweden

 This has all the makings of being a competitive fixture, particularly due to Slovenia possessing home advantage. However, Sweden need to kick-start their next cycle with victory in a tough group, leading us to predict a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawSweden
48.03% (-0.058 -0.06) 24.07% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 27.9% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)44.57% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)66.94% (0.074000000000012 0.07)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)18.68% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.98% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)50.01% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.012 -0.01)29.43% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.42% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 48.03%
    Sweden 27.9%
    Draw 24.07%
SloveniaDrawSweden
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Sweden

Slovenia
16.2%
Draw
18.0%
Sweden
65.9%
167
Head to Head
May 30, 2016 6.30pm
Sweden
0-0
Slovenia

Jokic (64'), Kurtic (75'), Krajnc (86')
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