MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 19:02:49| >> :120:4475:4475:
San Marino national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

San Marino
0 - 4
Estonia


Battistini (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anier (38', 77'), Teniste (56'), Sappinen (66')
Purg (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: San Marino 0-0 Seychelles
Wednesday, September 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 2-1 Malta
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: San Marino 0-2 Estonia

San Marino are rarely thrashed at this level, so we expect them to make life difficult for the visitors during certain periods. However, there is little doubt that Estonia are a step up in class from their forthcoming opponents, so their 100% record should remain in tact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawEstonia
26.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.16% (0.0040000000000013 0) 50.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.35% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)41.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.82% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)64.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.45% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 26.53%
    Estonia 50.31%
    Draw 23.16%
San MarinoDrawEstonia
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.31%

How you voted: San Marino vs Estonia

San Marino
26.0%
Draw
9.4%
Estonia
64.6%
96
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
League D2
Estonia
2-0
San Marino
Kirss (24'), Tamm (32')

Golinucci (60'), Mularoni (68')
Jun 14, 2015 5pm
Group E
Estonia
2-0
San Marino
Zenjov (35', 63')

Battistini (58')
Nov 15, 2014 5pm
Group E
San Marino
0-0
Estonia

Simoncini (11'), Palazzi (57')

Dmitrijev (1'), Morozov (69'), Mets (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!