MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:31:47| >> :120:73938:73938:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Cyprus national football team
Nations League | Relegation Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Mar 29, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

Cyprus
2 - 0
Estonia

Tzionis (19'), Soteriou (51')
Spoljaric (43')
Spoljaric (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tamm (13'), Mets (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Cyprus and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

Last Six:
Last Game: Cyprus 0-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Estonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Cyprus 2-1 Estonia

 It really is difficult to separate these two sides as both the world rankings and Thursday's first leg show. We think that it could go all the way to extra time and possibly even penalties, but are backing Cyprus to make their home advantage count and relegate Estonia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawEstonia
38.79%26.69%34.52%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77%53.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.79%
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.05%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72%65.27%
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 38.78%
    Estonia 34.52%
    Draw 26.69%
CyprusDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.78%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.91%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.52%

How you voted: Cyprus vs Estonia

Cyprus
65.5%
Draw
21.8%
Estonia
12.7%
55
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 5pm
League C2
Estonia
0-0
Cyprus

Sappinen (62'), Kreida (73')

Artymatas (39'), Antoniou (57'), Papoulis (74')
Sep 3, 2017 5pm
Group H
Estonia
1-0
Cyprus
Kait (90')
Anier (78')

Demetriou (12')
Mar 25, 2017 5pm
Group H
Cyprus
0-0
Estonia

Laban (79')

Vassiljev (69')
rhs 2.0
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