World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Eq Guinea2 - 0Sao Tome
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sao Tome & Principe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Togo 3-0 Eq Guinea
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 82.82%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 4.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (14.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.12%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
82.82% ( -0.01) | 13.04% ( 0.01) | 4.14% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 28.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.08) | 47.1% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.07) | 69.34% ( 0.08) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.11% ( -0.02) | 8.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.58% ( -0.05) | 30.42% ( 0.05) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.06) | 68.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 5.47% ( -0.02) | 94.53% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Equatorial Guinea 82.8%
Sao Tome & Principe 4.14%
Draw 13.04%
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
| 2-0 @ 17.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 82.8% | 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 13.04% | 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 4.14% |
