World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Rades

Tunisia
1 - 0
Eq Guinea

Ali Ben Romdhane (82' pen.)
Meriah (14'), Laidouni (25'), Ltaief (87'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90+2'), Ben Said (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Akapo (9'), Buyla (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 Tunisia (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Eq Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

We said: Tunisia 2-0 Equatorial Guinea

Tunisia will be backing themselves to maintain their perfect qualifying record as they take on a deflated Equatorial Guinea side who will be looking to bounce back after their costly point deduction. That said, we predict that the Carthage Eagles will come away with the desired results in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.95%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
55.66% ( 0.04)	26.87% ( -0)	17.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 37.62% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.68% (

-0.02)

64.32% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.59% (

-0.01)

83.41% (

0.02)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.01)

23.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

0.01)

57.59% (

-0.01)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.2% (

-0.05)

50.79% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.8% (

-0.03)

85.2% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 55.65%

Equatorial Guinea 17.46%

Draw 26.86%

Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 17.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.65%	0-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.46%