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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Tunisia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Mali national football team

Tunisia
1 - 1
Mali

Rafia (20')
Jaziri (90+4'), Laidouni (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sinayoko (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tunisia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Tunisia 1-1 Mali

 Mali seemed more coherent in their opening fixture against South Africa, and that should put them in a place of comfort before facing an under-pressure Tunisia side, who looked ropey in their defeat to Namibia. Both sides could accept a point in Korhogo, with the teams possibly cancelling each other out on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mali had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawMali
53.34%27.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 19.62% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.25% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.36% (0.055 0.05)62.64% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)82.2% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.02300000000001 0.02)23.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)47.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (0.035999999999998 0.04)82.6% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 53.33%
    Mali 19.62%
    Draw 27.02%
TunisiaDrawMali
1-0 @ 16.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 53.33%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.55% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 19.62%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Mali

Tunisia
23.8%
Draw
28.6%
Mali
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 8.30pm
Third Round 2nd Leg
Tunisia
0-0
Mali
Ben Said (90+3')
Kouyate (55'), Bissouma (69')
> Preview
Mar 25, 2022 5pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Mali
0-1
Tunisia

Kouyate (90+2')
Sissako (40')
Sissako (36' og.)
Jaziri (49'), Ghandri (55')
> Preview
Jan 12, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
0-1
Mali

Mathlouthi (22'), Skhiri (47')
Kone (48' pen.)
Traore (18'), Djenepo (33')
Bilal Toure (87')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2021 8.30pm
Friendlies 1
Tunisia
1-0
Mali
Ben Slimane (90')
Laidouni (66'), Jebali (90+3')

Bilal Toure (22'), Kouyate (32'), Coulibaly (45+3'), Bagayoko (73')
Bilal Toure (32'), Kouyate (90+3')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2019 3.30pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
1-1
Mali
Khazri (70')
Skhiri (37'), Badri (42'), Chaalali (64')
Samassekou (60')
Haidara (11'), Marega (59'), Samassekou (70')
> Match Report
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